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Will Stock Market Crash if Trump Loses Election??

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30 Thoughts to “Will Stock Market Crash if Trump Loses Election??”

  1. へっぽこ帰国子女のお勉強

    2:19 選挙状況 7:35 株式市場に起こる事 13:29 ぼくの意見
    ♪高橋ダン英語CHを見て(私が)勉強する動画作ってます♪ https://www.youtube.com/user/nikaeeedo
    0:28 how do you aggregate 情報集約する
    1:33 I’m not gonna jitter jabber about each person’s opinion  いちいちガチャガチャ各候補者の主張について言わない
    2:20 epic battle 壮大な戦い
    4:30 that’s where things get really rocky 不安定な、グラグラする
    4:53 electoral vote 〈米〉選挙人投票、選挙人の票
    5:45 It’s a tossup コイン投げ、硬貨投げ、五分五分の見込み、いちかばちか。
    6:00 the color starts to get tinted  そこの(州の)色が染められたら
    8:10 common knowledge周知の[誰もが知っている・一般に知られている]事実[こと]、常識〔誰もが持っている知識
    8:23 now i almost spent the better part of the day today dissecting what happens to the market. 今日一日メッチャこの詳細調査に時間つかったし
    11:26 coincided with 同時(期)に起こる[発生する]、同一の空間をしめる
    11:52 sort of outlier 《統計》外れ値◆必ずしも異常値とは限らない
    12:15 incumbent party 現職の、現任の、在職の

    1. Takeyoshi OGUMA

      いつもありがとうございます。

    2. ばかーんいやーん

      へっぽこさん、どこかの動画でコメント交換したかも、です

    3. へっぽこ帰国子女のお勉強

      ばかーんいやーん BBCかCNNの阿部さん辞任の動画でしたっけ?お名前は記憶にあります^_^

    4. へっぽこ帰国子女のお勉強

      Takeyoshi OGUMA 恐縮です!

  2. shinsan

    初めて英語版から観ています。
    いつもありがとうございますm(_ _)m

    1. Dan Takahashi

      Thanks for your comment but Could you comment Japanese in japan channel?

  3. s t

    【英語表現まとめ】

    aggregate …【動】…を情報集約する(まとめる)
    spent…【動】…を費やす
    allocate…【動】…を振り分ける
    epic battle【名句】壮大な戦い
    poll【名】世論調査
    add up to…【動句】合計…となる
    state【名】州
    swing states【名句】スウィングステイツ(伝統的に共和党、民主党、優勢が決まっていない州)
    dictate…【動】…を決定する
    campaigning【名】選挙運動
    toss-up【名句】五分五分の見込み
    uncertainty 【名】不確かなこと
    common knowledge 【名句】常識
    dissect…【動】…を分析する(解剖する)
    controversy【名】議論
    established【形】名声が確立された(設立された)
    end up…【動句】…という結果に終わる
    coincide with…【動句】…と同時に起きる
    depression 【名】不景気
    on the brink of…【副句】…にひんして
    correlation 【名】相関関係
    incumbent 【形】現職の
    crisis【名】危機
    objective 【形】客観的な
    stick with…【動句】…を続ける

    昨日のビデオの和訳と今日の和訳更新しました🙇‍♂️
    https://hlkspeaksenglish.com/

  4. Takeyoshi OGUMA

    Thank you, Dan.

  5. 100B ANGEL

    〓 金融用語 & 英単語 勉強ノート 〓
    00:11 presidential elections in the U.S. [n.] 米国大統領選挙
    00:25 affect [v.] ~に影響を与える/及ぼす
    00:26 stock market [n.] 株式市場、株価、株式相場
    00:31 polls [n.] 世論調査、投票所、投票
    00:38 aggregate [v.] 情報集約する、まとめる
    00:39 come to a conclusion [exp.] 結論に達する
    01:32 jibber-jabber [v.] (訳の分からないことを) ペチャクチャとまくし立てる[話し続ける]
    01:54 consensus [n.] (全体の) ほぼ一致した意見、総意、民意
    02:12 allocate [v.] ~を割り当てる、計上する、配分する、割り振る
    02:22 epic battle [exp.] 壮大な戦い
    02:36 Five Thirty Eight [n.] 人気の世論調査サイト
    [ref.] (en) https://fivethirtyeight.com/
    02:54 at the moment [exp.] 現在 (のところ)、今のところ
    02:56 add up to [exp.] 合計~になる、結局[つまるところ]~ということになる
    03:07 in the lead [exp.] 先頭で、首位に立って、トップを切って、優勢で
    03:10 whatsoever [adj.] どんなものであれ、何であれ
    03:18 electorate [n.] 有権者
    03:20 each state [n.] 各州
    03:22 Democrat [n.] 民主党
    03:22 Republican [n.] 共和党
    03:25 cast [v.] (票を) 投じる、入れる
    03:25 electoral [adj.] 選挙(人)の
    03:25 electoral votes [n.] 選挙人投票
    (米国の大統領を選ぶ各州の選挙人の選挙の投票数。米国では各州の最大投票者数を獲得した党がその州の全部の選挙人を獲得する)
    03:47 swing state [n.] 選挙結果を左右する州、勝敗の鍵を握る州、激戦州(国大統領選において、選挙結果が共和党と民主党の候補者間で“揺れる州”または接戦の州)
    04:29 rocky [adj.] 不安定な、グラグラする
    05:12 dictate [v.] 定める、決定する、決定づける、影響する
    05:20 campaigning [n.] 選挙運動
    05:30 272 To Win [n.] 人気の世論調査サイト
    [ref.] https://www.270towin.com/
    05:40 whole nation [n.] 全国民
    05:44 accurate picture [exp.] 正確な状況、正確な図
    05:52 tossup [n.] コイン投げ、硬貨投げ、五分五分の見込み
    06:00 tinted [adj.] 薄い[淡い]色を付けられ
    06:02 lean [v.] 傾く
    07:19 lean toward [exp.] ~に傾く
    08:01 liberal [adj.] 自由主義の、自由を認める、進歩的な、リベラルな
    08:06 capital gains [n.] キャピタルゲイン、資本利得
    08:23 dissect [v.] ~を詳細に分析[調査]する
    08:27 four-year cycle [exp.] 4年周期
    08:48 the third quarter [n.] 第3四半期
    09:02 volatility [n.] ボラタリティー、《株》乱高下、変動率
    09:07 quarter [n.] 四半期
    [ref.] https://ei.marketwatch.com/Multimedia/2019/09/09/Photos/ZG/MW-HQ931_electi_20190909110945_ZG.jpg?uuid=db91bace-d313-11e9-a1e8-9c8e992d421e
    09:17 nonetheless [adv.] (前述の内容は確かに事実ではあるが) それにもかかわらず、 それでもやはり
    09:21 flip-flopping [adj.] (~に関する意見・考え・方針・態度などの) 急転換、急変
    09:23 volatile [adj.] (価格が) 変動しやすい、上下する、(株式市場が) 値動きの荒い
    09:34 controversy [n.] 論争、論議、議論
    09:45 established [adj.] 世間に認められた、名声が確立した、定評のある
    09:47 business magazine [n.] ビジネス誌[雑誌]、業界誌、経済誌
    09:51 figures [n.] 数量、価格、値段、総額、合計数、統計、データ
    [ref.] https://blogs-images.forbes.com/peterlazaroff/files/2016/07/2016-07-20-President-Market-Data.jpg
    09:54 add up [v.] 合計する
    10:19 track record [n.] (より厳密な過去の記録がある) 実績、成績、業績、履歴
    10:27 controversial [adj.] 議論[論議・論争]を引き起こす[の的になる]、物議を醸している
    10:29 believe firmly [adv.] 確信する[固く信じる]、~に対して揺るがない信念を持っている
    10:41 wake-up call [exp.] 緊急な注意を促すもの、緊急の注意、警鐘、注意喚起
    10:54 Democratic presidential candidate [n.] 民主党の大統領候補
    11:14 presidential election year [n.] 大統領選挙の年
    11:25 coincided with [exp.] ~と関係がある、~と同期している[一致している]
    11:27 the Great Depression [n.] 世界大恐慌
    11:34 brink [n.] 寸前、瀬戸際
    11:36 tech bubble burst [n.] ITバブル崩壊
    11:53 outlier [n.] 外れ値、異常値
    12:16 incumbent party [n.] 現在大統領を出している党
    12:38 in statistics [exp.] 統計上、統計学上
    12:40 statistics [n.] 統計学
    12:48 success rate [exp.] 成功率
    12:52 median [n.] 中央値
    13:06 correlation [n.] 相互関係、相関(関係)
    13:17 incumbent [adj.] 現職の、現任の、在職の
    13:32 whatnot [n.] その他もろもろ、などなど、その他似たようなもの、えたいの知れない物[人]

    14:14 MACD (Moving Average Convergence and Divergence) [fin.] 「移動平均収束拡散法」「マックディー」(1960年代にテクニカル分析の権威であるジェラルド・アペル氏が開発)
    [ref.] https://www.ifinance.ne.jp/learn/technical/macd.html
    ★ MACDの使い方?https://youtu.be/VJu8uJPC54o
    ★ MACD – Find the Trend and make Money? https://youtu.be/nNt5s8PwjkQ

    14:17 parameters [n.] 設定値、引数、パラメーター

    14:27 RSI (Relative Strength Index) [fin.] 「相対力指数」(米国のテクニカルアナリストのJ.W.ワイルダー氏によって開発された指数)
    [ref.] https://www.ifinance.ne.jp/learn/technical/rsi.html
    ★ RSI でお金を稼ぐ方法?https://youtu.be/5oe4O1a7AVk
    ★ RSI – How to Use this Tool to Make Money?! https://youtu.be/plpR2HOWyM4

    14:28 Bollinger Bands [fin.] ボリンジャーバンド(移動平均を表す線と、その上下に値動きの幅を示す線を加えたもので、統計学の標準偏差の考え方を利用した指標で、1980年代前半に、米国の投資研究家であるジョン・ボリンジャー氏によって考案された)
    [ref.] https://www.ifinance.ne.jp/learn/technical/bollingerbands.html
    ★ ボリンジャーバンドの使い方?https://youtu.be/Fj84odIyDuw
    ★ BOLLINGER BAND….Ultimate Chart Tool?? https://youtu.be/Hkn2F3pJyuc

    14:40 stochastics [fin.] ストキャスティクス(オシレーター系指標の一つで、米国のチャート分析家であるジョージ・レーン氏によって考案された、相場の買われ過ぎや売られ過ぎを判断する分析手法)
    [ref.] https://www.ifinance.ne.jp/learn/technical/stochastics.html

    15:18 long-term perspective [exp.] 長期的(な)観点[視点・見通し]
    16:03 overvalued [adj.] (価値などが) 過大評価された、割高な
    16:03 undervalued [adj.] 割安の、過小評価された、過小計上された
    16:27 historical analysis [exp.] 歴史的解析
    16:29 butt heads [exp.] ぶつかる、衝突する、角を突き合わせる
    16:52 stay hydrated [exp.] こまめに常に水分補給してね
    16:53 stay safe [exp.] 気を付けてね、無事でいてね

    🇯🇵 【アメリカ大統領選2020】トランプ敗北で株式市場は大混乱? – https://youtu.be/_382jfby62o

     Thank you 🙏🏻

  6. ビクトリア

    Thank you dan .My Listening is not good now but maybe I think To be a little little little bit good Because I watch dan’S video Every day. So I’m happy

  7. 子牙

    The president election in the United States is completely different from the election of the Japanese prime minister, isn’t it?
    Now, Mr. Biden has an advantage. But President Trump may win. I think so, too.

  8. Sumbody Real

    Biden lost Florida and Pennsylvania

  9. Gabriela Franco

    The survey going back to 1829 on which party better for the st ok ck market is fundamentally flawed from its outset: because tu he two parties have both cganged a grwat deal. 1968 would be the EARLIEST you could do such a comparison; and 1977 would be even more accurate. Because Reagan v Carter was where rhings truly began to changw. So if this survey matters, be consistent and say the Democrat Party is the exclusive party of human slavery if antiquity matters that much.

    1. Dan Takahashi

      1928data is more accurate agree

  10. George Herpick

    Thoughts on Tesla and predictions?

    1. CH Kiranmai

      Stupid fanboys pushing the stock higher and higher and higher.

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  12. Leto Kahn

    Trump will never accept defeat. He was trained by his father that admitting defeat is a weakness.
    If Trump loses the election, it isn’t going to be pretty.
    The damage Trump can do is immense. Being the President he has classified knowledge that he could easily tell foreign powers in retaliation for his loss. Trump will not see it as being a traitor. He can’t. He will justify his own actions in a way where he will believe that he is the hero.

    1. Bella Noire

      Lord help us all….

    2. Splash Golf

      Sounds kinda like the dems blaming the last election results on Russia… also trump isn’t going to tell foreign powers information you’re an idiot if you think that. Also if biden loses the dems will just burn cities down they’re LOSERS.

  13. The Unknown

    Now it all makes sense. Democrat claim to tax big corporation while bailing out poor people. But your data shows they did the opposite of what they claim

    Bernie’s try of taxing Amazon was nothing but a political stunt

  14. Daniel Poirier

    Great job Dan! Like in 2016 I don’t think the polls are very accurate because many people who will vote Trump do not report this in the polls which ends up screwing the data. It’s a strange phenomena but must be of an assessment, in my humble opinion.

  15. Daniel Gonzalez

    There is a factor that was not accounted on your calculation and is that we are dealing with Trump and he is not a typical politician in fact he isn’t a politician. I believe the market will go up faster if he is re-elected

  16. Bella Noire

    Great video!

  17. Cordie High

    As a rule democrats always gotta fix everything and Republicans tank the market trumps the first one that has done a good job it rather have a civil society then a sky high stock market Clinton had to fix regans mess Obama had to fix bishes tanking market

  18. Zissou Moonshot

    Monetary fed policy won’t change either way. Bankers run the show, not politicians. Time in the market. Not timing the market.

  19. 京岡龍樹

    thank you great information, I want to win Trump. If Biden win , corporate tax would rise and market crash I think so

  20. Gabe Makes Content - Life Improvement

    He answers at 7:38

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