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How The Stock Market Predicts The Presidential Elections


How The Securities Market Predicts The Presidential Elections

So you wish to know that will win the presidential political elections. Trump or Biden? In this video, I'll show you exactly how the securities market can be a pretty accurate sign of that will certainly win the election.

When the S&P 500 stock index has actually been higher in the 3 months leading up to the election, the incumbent event has actually usually won. When supplies were lower during that duration, the incumbent celebration generally lost.

Background has shown that when an economic downturn has actually happened throughout the two years prior to the election, the incumbent president has actually had a tendency to shed.

Markets have tended to do better under Democratic managements. Because 1950, S&P 500 returns have averaged a solid 10% a year boost under Republican politician presidents, but a more powerful 15% a year boost under Democrats.

#Elections #President #Stocks.

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DISCLAIMER: Jaidan Craig, consisting of however not restricted to any kind of visitors appearing in his videos, are not financial/investment advisors, brokers, or dealerships. They are solely sharing their personal experience as well as viewpoints; therefore, all techniques, tips, pointers, and also recommendations shared are only for home entertainment purposes. There are economic risks associated with investing, and also Jaidan Craig's outcomes are not normal; consequently, do not act or refrain from acting based on any kind of details conveyed in this video, web page, and/or external hyperlinks. For financial investment advice please seek the guidance of a financial/investment advisor( s), as well as conduct your own due diligence.

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28 Thoughts to “How The Stock Market Predicts The Presidential Elections”

  1. bmmk12

    Some cool data and research! Thanks, man

    1. Jaidan Craig

      You bet! I had a lot of fun researching this!

  2. Unorthodox Savings

    Please split the Congress I want a 17% return for my index fund 😂 but I agree I’ll dollar cost average no matter what the outcome is, great video!

    1. Jaidan Craig

      haha for reals! 17% year after year would be very nice lol. Thanks for watching!

  3. Cholent Entertainment

    Go Trump

  4. Cholent Entertainment


    1. Jaidan Craig


  5. Jose Rojas

    Interested to see how the market will react even closer to the election. Great video Jaidan

    1. Jaidan Craig

      Me too! I think there will be a lot of ups and downs in the next few months. Thanks for watching!

  6. Ape Gone Mad

    I truly believe that President Trump will win re-election!

  7. TripleDip Finance

    Great explanations backed by data! Thanks for making it

    1. Jaidan Craig

      Of course! It was really fun researching this topic!

  8. Finance 101

    Who would’ve thought that the stock market could be a predictor for something as big as the presidential election! Great job covering this content without making it too political (which is so hard to do in this climate)

    1. Jaidan Craig

      Thank you! I am glad it didn’t come off as political lol 🙂

  9. Make / Save / Invest

    Very amazing how the stock market predicts the election!! I had never looked at it this way!! I’ll invest in fossil fuel!! We are drilling on new locations in the nature preserved part of Alaska!!💰

    1. Jaidan Craig

      It is very interesting! Fossil fuels are being slept on. Also, It’s been my dream to go to Alaska. Just wanted to say that since you mentioned Alaska haha

  10. Scott Edward - Real Estate

    This is an interesting concept and well covered! Now time to talk about how the Presidential Elections Predict the Stock Market!

    1. Jaidan Craig

      I found it super intriguing! Thanks for watching Scott

  11. Jessie - Opportunity Cost Investing

    I need to make a tshirt that says “I DCA All Day Everyday.” lol Great presentation! To me the elections are simply blips on the long-term radar. Thanks for sharing Jaidan!

    1. Jaidan Craig

      Haha that’s not a bad idea for a t-shirt!! That’s exactly how I view it as well! Thanks for watching

  12. Olley Thorpe - Income Automated

    Hey man! cool video just subbed!

    1. Jaidan Craig

      Thank you! I appreciate that 🙂

  13. Pennies Not Perfection

    Definitely heard/seen this before and it’s been interesting to see the stock market volatility leading up to this election. Curious to see how it turns out in Nov!

    1. Jaidan Craig

      Me too! I’ll be looking at this after the election to see if it was accurate this time around. Thanks for watching 🙂

  14. Christian Pinckard, CPhT

    Interesting concept, haven’t really equated the markets to the election, besides the “news” created by it. I smashed that like button and subscribed for more! 🙂

  15. Christian Pinckard, CPhT

    Interesting concept, haven’t really equated the markets to the election, besides the “news” created by it. I smashed that like button and subscribed for more! 🙂

    1. Jaidan Craig

      Haha thanks for smashing those buttons 😉 And yeah, it’s crazy that the stock market has been a pretty accurate indicator of past elections!

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